Wednesday, 15 April 2020

Gov’t advised to consider hedging part of its oil amidst current low oil prices

Selling-out Ghana to Aker Energy… Alex Mould exposes NPP ... 

 

Adnan Adams Mohammed

 

The government of Ghana has been admonished to consider hedging as revenue risk management with respect to our oil production.

 

“There should be a policy to take out price insurance (hedge using financial derivatives) on a certain percentage of our oil using the benchmark price (floor price) as determined by our Petroleum Revenue Management Act (PRMA)”, Alex Mould, former Boss of Ghana National Petroleum Corporation (GNPC) has suggested.

 

The renowned energy and financial expert further retorted; we need to review our stabilization and heritage funds. What are their objectives? Should more money be allocated to them? It is the perfect time to take a second look at restrictions on what instruments these funds can invest in; as we need to improve on our investment strategies. To do that means we need qualified fund managers and investment officers.

 

“Take the Norwegian Sovereign fund for example, which is one of the world’s richest Sovereign Funds. Part of their funds are invested in local oil companies, and they actively trade and change its portfolio investments”, the former Standard Chartered Bank Executive Director emphasized, stressing that “Yet in our case, due to the restrictions on the type of investments the Ghana Sovereign Funds are permitted to have, we have been averaging an investment return between 0.5% to 1.25% per annum, which is unacceptable.”

 

According to the PRMA, Ghana is only allowed to invest in Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) government financial instruments and cannot even buy our own Ghana Government Eurobonds which gave a yield (rate of return) of 8.5% when originally issued in January.

 

Currently, GoG Eurobonds are trading at its lowest since issuance, at 70% of the original price - which gives a yield (rate of return) of 12+%.

 

“So this is a good time to invest in them especially for the Heritage Fund as the maturities of these Eurobonds are 30+ years.

 

“Another opportunity could also have been to take advantage of the 88% drop in Tullow’s price which is the closest traded proxy to owning part of the oil fields in Ghana.  An investment of a portion of the Heritage fund in Tullow (and/or Kosmos) shares when the price fell to GHp10 would have yielded a 200% return on investment as the share price is now above 30p, and far below the highs of £2.50 we saw a year ago”, the expert noted.


0 comments: